Budgeting UR Points for Japan Flight

Budgeting UR Points for Japan Flight Hello! First off I want to say this sub has been fantastic. It has helped and saved me a ton of money in travel the last few years. Ya'll are great!I am trying to graduate from domestic travel to international travel hacking now. I am still trying to wrap my head around transferring UR to various airlines still, but could use some general guidance until I figure those details out. I am trying to plan a trip for two to Japan from the US (LAX, SFO, or SEA) in the fall of 2023. What kind of UR point balance should I have to safely ensure we can pay for two RT ANA business class tickets with points when it comes time? We are currently at 261k UR points, and based on what I see on awardhacker it seems like 261k would be plenty assuming 1:1 conversion ratio. Is this a safe assumption for now or should I budget for more? It's fine if I over estimate points needed to a degree, but I would like to avoid under estimating. Trying to strategize where I apply some quickly upcoming expenses and slacked on researching this earlier...Thank you for your help!

Hello! First off I want to say this sub has been fantastic. It has helped and saved me a ton of money in travel the last few years. Ya'll are great!

I am trying to graduate from domestic travel to international travel hacking now. I am still trying to wrap my head around transferring UR to various airlines still, but could use some general guidance until I figure those details out. I am trying to plan a trip for two to Japan from the US (LAX, SFO, or SEA) in the fall of 2023. What kind of UR point balance should I have to safely ensure we can pay for two RT ANA business class tickets with points when it comes time? 

We are currently at 261k UR points, and based on what I see on awardhacker it seems like 261k would be plenty assuming 1:1 conversion ratio. Is this a safe assumption for now or should I budget for more? It's fine if I over estimate points needed to a degree, but I would like to avoid under estimating. Trying to strategize where I apply some quickly upcoming expenses and slacked on researching this earlier...

Thank you for your help!

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